Fig. 1
From: Examining buprenorphine diversion through a harm reduction lens: an agent-based modeling study
Cumulative number of fatal opioid overdoses over 5 years for model scenarios. S1—sensitivity 1 (increased overdose risk when using diverted buprenorphine from 2.08 to 4.16 per 100 person-years), S2—sensitivity 2 (increased daily probability of using diverted buprenorphine from 15 to 25% for users of diverted buprenorphine), S3—sensitivity 3 (increased probability of using diverted buprenorphine from 15 to 50%), S4—sensitivity 4 (3% of diverted buprenorphine available to opioid-naïve agents with a 1% probability of use and 0.3% fatal overdose probability).